Trump’s Voters Are Still With Him

The Democrats are working hard to drive the narrative that Donald Trump’s administration is chaotic, is doing many things that voters don’t like, and Republican voters are experiencing “buyer’s remorse.” This theme is so ubiquitous in the news that one might reasonably wonder whether it could be true.

The chart below shows Rasmussen’s approval rating for Trump, from the beginning of his administration until today. Trump currently stands at a solid 52%. I think Rasmussen’s record as a pollster is as good as any, and its presidential tracking survey is especially worthwhile, since 1) unlike pretty much everyone else, Rasmussen consistently polls likely voters, and 2) they do the presidential approval poll every day, and what you see is a three-day rolling average. This means that while Rasmussen’s numbers may or may not be “right,” they are a very good barometer of trends:

So there is no sign that Trump’s voters are bailing on him. On the contrary, it is reasonable to assume that pretty much all of his voters think he is doing what he promised to do on the campaign trail.

This is interesting too: Rasmussen computes an “approval index,” which is the difference between respondents who strongly approve of the president’s performance, and those who strongly disapprove. Joe Biden was in deeply negative territory throughout his administration. Trump is close to even on this measure, and gaining. The number of respondents who strongly approve of his performance has been rising, while the number who strongly disapprove is falling. Again, this would be a major surprise if you pay attention to the “news”:

It is, of course, very early to be worrying about polls. But the Democrats’ “buyer’s remorse” messaging has been so insistent that the fact that it is wholly invented is noteworthy.